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Wealth Warning. Any decisions made (or not) or the basis of any information in this site are the sole responsibility of the reader. There is no obligation on me to follow my own advice (Gary). The Stats Proverb says 'Relevance Is In The Eye Of The Beholder.' I take no responsibility for (but am keen to hear of) any factual errors. Previous years ‘stats on stats’ would suggest we may identify a decent priced winner from manageable groups every three or four races. I tend to improve as a tipster as the week goes on, possibly too concerned on the Tuesday. It is believed that Savello (2014 Grand Annual) took from Golden Chieftain (2013 3m hcap chase) the record for breaking the most stats in a race. Stands now at 8. Cole Harden equalised with 8 in the 2015 World Hurdle. Remember, after you have cursed/laughed at me and given up totally on trends, they will come back to bite. Always happens. Usually on Gold Cup Day

Beware GO SEA - Groundless Optimism Syndrome Encouraged by Alcohol. A Cotswold condition very common at this time of year.

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    Welcome to the new GaultStats

     

    Cheltenham 2017

    The Only Trends You Need

    Sorry, despite requests, I do not produce information for Aintree. Keen to stay married. Cause Of Causes for me.

     

     

     

    Bryan at Cheltenham 1045, Tuesday 14 March 2017

    Day 1 successes - Tiger Roll 16s, Apples Jade 7/2, Two Taffs and Singlefarmpayment placed.

    Day 2 and Day 3 only Un De Sceaux

    Gold Cup Day. We finished well just like my long range each way selection in the race Minella Rocco. Winners tipped today Pacha Du Polder (early 20s) and Rock The World 9s. Other selections that finished in the money Air Horse One, Wholestone, Native River and Runfordave. Missed the placepot by not putting the Triumph Hurdle favourite in. But that's par for the course for me.
     
    From over 5600 unique visitors we have collected nearly £2500 in donations for North Down Samaritans. I feel very humble about the money given and the support and feedback I've received. The viginmoney page will remain open if you still wish to give. Thank you all very much. Well exceeded expectations. As said below, I hope my site has been of some use to you or at least provided a little entertainment.
     
    If spared, will return in 2018. Thanks for coming, Bryan

     

     

     

     

    A big thank you to Ashleigh Watson at ash@coppersquarecommunications.co.uk who came to see my 'historically messy but always interesting' google site in mid January. Thought I was mad. She has produced www.gaultstats.com which is easier to navigate, nicer to look at and well received by media reviewers including the Racing Post. (She also has great patience).

      

     

      

     

    The 2017 Bookies theme was to get a bit little meaner. Powers free bet if second in first five races each day. Skybet returning with 2016's first race every day free bet offer. This year only to £20. Betway free bet to £10 if backing loser in first or last race each day. Betway free bets only last 24hrs. I advise using Boylesports only for the Arkle or Queen Mother. Ladbrokes offer free bet if Willie Mullins win named race. Betfair Sportsbook cheeky fall insurance bet about Yorkhill in JLT.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

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    'If you are looking for comprehensive trends at the Cheltenham Festival, Gaultstats appears to have all angles covered with an in depth guide to each race and the general meeting trends.' Paul Jones (www.pauljoneshorseracing.com and author of The Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide 2000-2015) 24th Feb 2017

     

    'Lots of interesting stuff on Gaultstats... certainly things I didn't know.' Matt Tombs (author of the Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide from 2016)

     

    'Heaving oceans of stats. Gaultstats ..contains every stat ever compiled about the festival... dry wit, some funny....provides plenty to ponder....nuggets galore.' Robin Gibson (Racing Post Sunday Supplement March '16)

     

    'Gault is the Statsman' - Margie McCloone (Irish Field 11th March 2017 )


     

     

     

     

    The Samaritans

    In 2017 I am supporting the Samaritans Charity. My friend Wesley gives freely of his time to perform at least three shifts a week for Bangor Samaritans in North Down. These shifts include nights, weekends and bank holidays. Wesley and many other volunteers take calls and emails from all over the UK and Ireland and do their level best to help and counsel distressed people. He could pick up a call from someone living in Cork or the Cairngorms or in Dover or Donegal. The Samaritans are financed solely by charitable donations and my local branch is in need of funds. So please take a minute, click on my Virgin Giving page above and get your card out. Gaultstats had over 10000 site visits in 2016 and raised £1600 for Marie Curie. Previous collections have been for Cancer Research and the Jonjo Bright Trust. If you have given before, thank you. Please give again. A fiver is fine. No monies go to me. I would like to match or better last year's total. If you are from the South, the low value of sterling should make it easier to give. Should you not be aware of the Samaritans work in UK or Ireland just go to www.samaritans.org. Remember, a family member or friend might be needing their help.

    The Cheltenham Festival

    'There's no place like this on earth' said Ruby Walsh in the Racing Post Tuesday 15th March 2016. The Cheltenham Festival is where all National Hunt owners, trainers and jockeys dream about winning. Being involved with a winner ensures an entry in the National Hunt Role of Honour even if the race concerned may 'only' be the quirky Cross Country Chase. Harry Fry, Feb 2017 talking about Unowhatimeanharry - 'A Festival winner is what everyone in National Hunt racing strives to achieve and to get the first one was a watershed moment and a huge achievement for the team.' Since all are doing their damnest to win, trends can emerge of those most likely to succeed. But remember, there are no hard and fast rules. They are horses, after all. Pricewise himself will scoff at stats but has often been heard discussing possible winning profiles. Morning Line 9 Jan 2016 - "Older horses don't win Welsh Nationals". Careful, Tom, that did sound like a view based on trends. Racing Post 24th February 2017 Colin Tizzard - "If Cue Card wasn't 11 I'm sure he would be favourite" Knows his stats.

    How to use Gault Stats

     

    I first attended this fantastic event in 1985. I have been collecting information about it ever since. The links above will take you to directly to each race. This year on each race page there will be headline stats for that race. Please note, I don't say 'relevant', I say 'headline'. The old Stats Proverb says 'Relevance Is In The Eye Of The Beholder.' The next few lines will summarise a possible profile of the winner. That profile will concentrate on trends that are correct to 90%+ over the last few Festivals. The rest of each race page will then comprise the evidence to back up the profile. The summary may also suggest something that is overdue to happen or an 'overripe stat' that might be due to fall. For example, if the favourite hasn't won the race in years. Horses identified in italics are being aimed to contest the race about which you are reading. As the countdown continues effort will be made to update races with confirmed runners and how they might fit in.

    The General Trends page covers lots of data and musings that doesn't really refer to any specific race. This includes jockeys, trainers, stats on Pricewise, preview nights, course winners, Fate of the Favourites et al. Click on the link and prepare to be amazed. Well, maybe. This year for the first time we have a quiz and a page about my visits to all UK and Irish racecourses, a task nearing its conclusion.

      

    On each day of the Festival I will post selections for each race at the top of this home page.

    These selections will be my view of those with the best chances / value as identified by GaultStats. I try to make effort not to tip anything that will be 3/1 or shorter. (that might be changed, reason to be found in the Fate of The Favourites on the General Trends). 2016 successes included Itsafreebee 14s w/o 2, Diamond King, Empire of Dirt, Superb Story, Tango de Juilley (33s ew). But feel free to come to your own conclusions.

     

     

    Hope you like the new layout. The hope remains that you make money in Festival week and this site in some small way contributes to your successful decision making processes.

     

     

    As ever, a labour of love

     

    Bryan

     

    (Feedback please to twitter @gaultstats or email bgault01@gmail.com. Any reasonable theories researched. I'm reliably informed the site works fast on Google Chrome).

     

    Remember to give.

     

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